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Iran-Israel tensions: Oil prices fall after Iranian attack escalates tensions

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Oil prices dropped in early Asian trading following Iran’s retaliatory strike on Israel over the weekend.

Brent crude, a significant gauge for global oil prices, dipped but remained close to $90 per barrel on Monday morning. Prices had surged in anticipation of Iran’s actions, with Brent crude reaching nearly a six-month high last week.

Israeli Defence Minister Yoav Gallant emphasized that the conflict with Iran is ongoing. “The oil market currently seems unconcerned about any additional threat to supply,” noted energy analyst Vandana Hari.

While Brent crude might dip below $90, a substantial decrease is unlikely as traders continue to monitor the risks stemming from conflicts in Gaza and Ukraine, Hari added.

Analysts highlighted Israel’s response to the attack as crucial for global markets in the coming days and weeks. Peter McGuire of trading platform XM.com anticipated volatility in the energy market and suggested that oil prices would soar if Israel responded forcefully to Iran’s actions.

In the Asia-Pacific region, share markets declined on Monday as investors assessed the impact of the attack. The Hang Seng in Hong Kong, Japan’s Nikkei 225, and South Korea’s Kospi all saw decreases, while China’s Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite rose by more than 1%.

Economy

Sri Lanka in “much better position” to handle oil price shocks – CBSL Governor

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The Governor of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka, Dr. Nandalal Weerasinghe has assured the public that Sri Lanka is now in a “much better position” to withstand global economic shocks, including rising oil prices and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

Speaking in an interview with Bloomberg recently, the Governor highlighted that the nation has built significant financial buffers, including foreign reserves that have surged from near-zero levels to over $7 billion. 

This provides a critical safety net against the rising oil prices and supply chain disruptions currently triggered by Middle East tensions.

The Governor emphasized that the domestic inflation environment has transformed, dropping from a crisis peak of 70% to a current rate of 1.6%. 

This low inflation gives the Central Bank “significant space” to absorb external price shocks without destabilizing the local economy. 

Unlike the previous crisis, where fuel shortages were caused by a total lack of foreign exchange, Dr. Weerasinghe clarified that any current risks are related to global supply logistics rather than a lack of domestic funding. 

He noted that the exchange rate will be allowed to act as a shock absorber to manage demand and protect the country’s fiscal health.

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Economy

Sri Lanka’s foreign reserves surpass USD 7 billion mark

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Sri Lanka’s official reserve assets increased by 6.6% to USD 7,284 million in February 2026, compared to USD 6,832 million recorded in January 2026.

Accordingly, country’s reserves have surpassed the USD 7 billion threshold for the first time since August 2020. 

However, this includes the proceeds received under the swap arrangement with the People’s Bank of China, according to the Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL).

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Economy

Over 80% state university graduates are migrating

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Sri Lanka is undergoing a brain drain crisis where a new study from the University of Peradeniya reveals that over 50 per cent of state university graduates, rising to 80-90 per cent in critical fields like medicine, engineering, and agriculture, are migrating permanently, never to return, according to a recent article by Ceylon Public Affairs.

The article which explores brain drain levels in 2025 mentions that the Sri Lankan government spends Rs. 87 billion yearly on university education in which many believe this has turned free education into a “development aid programme” for richer countries, with the best and brightest doctors, engineers, and scientists contributing to the economies of the West while Sri Lanka grapples with a 24.5 per cent poverty rate.

“Yearly, 42,000 undergraduates are educated across disciplines such as arts (25 per cent), management (20 per cent), engineering (13 per cent), and medicine (10 per cent). However, this system is inadvertently fuelling a migration of skilled workers. According to the University of Peradeniya study, the brightest graduates—those with science-based degrees—are leaving in droves, with migration rates exceeding 80 per cent in some departments.” Ceylon Public Affairs says.

Ceylon Public Affairs says that the reason for such high levels of brain drain is due to both economic and social realities. Low wages and high unemployment worsened by the country’s recent economic crisis, including a sovereign default and the lingering effects of the COVID-19 pandemic that pushes graduates to seek opportunities abroad. Meanwhile, the private and public sectors in Sri Lanka struggle to offer salaries competitive with global markets, trapping the nation in what economists call the middle-income trap.

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